Re: [iwar] what next? DDoS and then?


From: Tony Bartoletti
From: azb@llnl.gov
To: iwar@egroups.com
Thu, 14 Dec 2000 14:08:14 -0800 

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Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2000 14:08:14 -0800
Reply-To: iwar@egroups.com
Subject: Re: [iwar] what next? DDoS and then?
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At 08:19 PM 12/14/00 +0000, Wanja Eric Naef \(IWS\) wrote:

>Will the future malicious hackers / crackers move on to attack more high
>value targets (NII, DII, safety critical systems)?
>And might their campaigns be joined by terrorists who will also wage
>'digital-to-digital' attacks?

I think it will be valuable trying to characterize just what the future
"high value targets" will be.  They may not be what we are prepared for.

Certainly, the more "Critical/Secured" facilities of NII/DII are of less
concern - very difficult to attack "closed-net" systems.  Because of their
"concentrated, hardened" nature, we tend to think first of these systems
when we consider "high (strategic) value."  Consequently, we consider the
mass of "end-user" systems to be "low-value", even though collectively
those end-user systems support the greatest value in CPU, Storage, and
transactions.

But the "wireless future" promoted by many in industry would have every
PDA/cell-phone "on" 24/7, addressable by companies that will be aware of
your physical location, ready to offer you a $2 discount coupon at the
drugstore the very moment you pass by.  They see $$$ and only grudgingly
admit that "some abuses" of this technology may occur.  Might a concerted
infowar attack somehow leverage this "we-know-where-you-go" capability?
(At least, it could take "cyber-stalking" to an entirely new level.)

What other potential "cyber-conveniences" are waiting in the wings, how
"valuable/indispensable" might they become, and what would be the costs
of their subversion/disruption once reliance upon them became entrenched?

What if future "automobile information/navigation" systems were to be
given erroneous reports of freeway accidents?  "Please use alternative
routes."  Traffic could be tied into knots.

Could a hack into FedEx or Airborne produce a massive miss-delivery of
packages, or cancellation of valid orders?

Will the future offer "Internet Voting"?  Imagine the abuses if this is
done poorly.

Just some thoughts about tomorrow's "high-value targets".

___tony___

Tony Bartoletti 925-422-3881 
Information Operations, Warfare and Assurance Center
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Livermore, CA 94551-9900


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