[iwar] ABM deployment and IWAR

From: Charles Preston (cpreston@sinbad.net)
Date: 2001-08-01 17:28:00


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From: "Charles Preston" <cpreston@sinbad.net>
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Date: Wed, 1 Aug 2001 16:28:00 -0800
Reply-To: iwar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [iwar] ABM deployment and IWAR
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I suspect the determined and rapid pace of anti-missile 
deployment has a little to do with rogue nations and military 
area defense, and a lot to do with the ICBMs China is publicly 
reported to have.  This figure is in the 30's, and an anti-
missile deployment of 100 would provide some failure margin.

News reports indicate an urgency beyond that associated with 
the "military-industrial complex" and the desire of large 
contractors to make lots of money.

Dividing the cost of anti-missile development and deployment 
by an average figure for infrastructure investment in 15 large 
cities might make a good economic argument for deployment.  
That's in addition to the added shock effects of the 
simultaneous disappearance of multiple centers of finance, 
research, transportation, population, and communication. This 
is an experiment that no country has performed yet.

I'm sure that any economy has a limit to recoverable damage, 
and apart from major public health problems of fallout and 
morale, the cost of interdependence to form a huge economy may 
only be seen when the complex web is broken.  The down side of 
similar "just in time" delivery has been seen in some recent 
cases in the U.S. when "not in time" delivery occurred.

Is it possible that top decision makers in the U.S. have 
gotten a "maybe" answer to missile defense from China, and 
think the risk is worth the gamble?

Now, to work information warfare in here somewhere, what about 
information warfare capabilities from an opposing country 
against the reported 95% of military traffic using public 
communications channels either before, on in the aftermath, of 
a limited nuclear attack?

cmp


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