Re: [iwar] [fc:Flood.of.cheap.Afghan.heroin]

From: Tony Bartoletti (azb@llnl.gov)
Date: 2001-09-25 17:26:53


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From: Tony Bartoletti <azb@llnl.gov>
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Date: Tue, 25 Sep 2001 17:26:53 -0700
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Subject: Re: [iwar] [fc:Flood.of.cheap.Afghan.heroin]
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Fascinating sidebar, if that is what it is.  If the Taleban choked off 3/4 
of the world's Heroin/Opium supply, was this a good thing for drug 
traffickers (much higher prices, greater profits) or not?  What is the 
dollar value in worldwide traffic here?  I would guess it would make bin 
Laden's supposed $300M pale in significance.

____tony____


At 04:29 AM 9/25/01 -0700, you wrote:
>Flood of cheap Afghan heroin
>FROM STEPHEN FARRELL IN ISLAMABAD
>
>AFGHAN farmers are ready to swamp world markets with heroin amid signs
>that the Taleban has dropped its ban on opium growing.
>
>The ban was imposed by Mullah Muhammad Omar last year, leaving many
>farmers ruined.  But the sudden halving of the price of raw opium to
>$250 a kg suggests the decree has been reversed.  Even if it remains in
>place, desperate farmers are expected to resume planting next month
>while Taleban security forces are engaged elsewhere.
>
>One source confirmed last night: "There has definitely been a decrease
>in the price of opium in Afghanistan in recent days.  This would happen
>either because people expect an increase in supply or a decrease in
>demand, and if there is one thing from Afghanistan which is guaranteed
>to have an international demand, it is opium."
>
>Afghanistan produced 75 per cent of the world's opium last year and
>Mullah Omar's ban was seen as one of the few attempts by a pariah regime
>to gain credit with the international community.  Its enforcement was
>ruthless and efficient.  UN figures show that Afghanistan's opium
>production was 4,600 tonnes in 1999, but this is thought to have dropped
>to 100 tonnes this year.
>
>The respite, however, may prove short-lived.  One Western source said:
>"The farmers have to decide by mid-October if they are going to plant.
>The more we move into a campaign the more incentive they have to
>cultivate poppies."

Tony Bartoletti 925-422-3881 <azb@llnl.gov>
Information Operations, Warfare and Assurance Center
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Livermore, CA 94551-9900





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