[iwar] [fc:Afghan.Envoy:.Taliban.Troops.Defecting]

From: Fred Cohen (fc@all.net)
Date: 2001-10-11 06:18:13


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Subject: [iwar] [fc:Afghan.Envoy:.Taliban.Troops.Defecting]
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Guardian Unlimited | World Latest | Afghan Envoy: Taliban Troops Defecting

Afghan Envoy: Taliban Troops Defecting

Thursday October 11, 2001 7:30 AM

WASHINGTON (AP) - A Washington-based envoy for rebel forces in
Afghanistan says his group welcomes defecting troops from the Taliban
government and is willing to bribe Taliban commanders to change sides as
well. 

``We have no objection in trying to bribe the Taliban,'' Haron Amin said
Wednesday in an interview with The Associated Press.  ``Bribing other
commanders is one the tools of the Taliban in the past.''

Switching sides is as common as war in the Central Asian nation, where
U.S.  military strikes are paving the way for possible rebel advances. 
Indeed, Amin's northern alliance - or United Front - claims it has
attracted more than a thousand Taliban defectors so far. 

Amin described the alliance's plan to retake parts of Afghanistan,
laying out a four-pronged ground offensive in the country's northern and
western regions, all into areas where military facilities have been
targeted by U.S.-led air strikes since Sunday. 

One force would push south from Bagram toward Kabul.  A second would
attack west toward Taloqan and Konduz.  A third force would attempt to
take Mazar-e-Sharif from the south.  A fourth would strike east into
Herat.  He gave no timetable for the offensive. 

Alliance officials say they do not want to capture Kabul too quickly to
keep from provoking ethnic Pashtun leaders in the south who lost power
when the Taliban took over the government in 1996.  If the Pashtun
perceived a power grab in the capital by the alliance that didn't
include them, they might throw their support to the Taliban, said Ali
Jalali, a former Afghan fighter who now works for the Voice of America
in Washington. 

Before the bombing began Sunday, forces of the ruling Taliban numbered
about 45,000 troops and were better equipped than the rebels, who have
fewer than 20,000 troops and control of about 10 percent of the country. 
So far, alliance officials say, an estimated 1,200 Taliban soldiers and
40 officers have defected in the Baghlan province of Afghanistan,
closing a major north-south road the Taliban had used to supply its
forces from Kabul.  Apparently cut off are Taliban forces in far
northern Afghanistan, near Taloqan and Konduz. 

``There are clear signs of Taliban disarray,'' Amin said. 

But not every Taliban foe can be turned by bribery or fear.  Some core
Afghan troops, motivated by Taliban ideology above all else, likely will
fight to the death, as will foreign forces that are a part of Osama bin
Laden's al-Qaida network, U.S.  officials and experts say. 

Perhaps most famous of these units are the veteran Arab fighters of the
55th Brigade, which spearheaded the Taliban's capture of Mazar-e-Sharif
several years ago and last week launched an attack out of Taloqan that
Amin said was repelled by alliance forces. 

The rebel forces aren't planning to attack in southern and eastern parts
of Afghanistan, which are dominated by ethnic Pashtuns.  There, the CIA
likely will try to incite an anti-Taliban revolt, said Michael Vickers,
a retired Green Beret and CIA officer in South Asia.  He's now with the
Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, a Washington think tank. 

``The Pashtun areas are really the key to the end game,'' Vickers said. 
Elsewhere, however, defections and bribery will work well, he said.  The
Taliban bribed opposing commanders to win several battles in its rapid
drive in 1994 to conquer most of Afghanistan. 

Switching sides in a conflict is not considered dishonorable, Vickers
said.  Loyalties are to one's immediate clan leaders and family, so
groups that switch sides en masse to follow defecting leader is not
uncommon.  Northern alliance envoy Daoud Mir said his group has ``good
intelligence'' on which Taliban officers are likely to defect. 

``In light of Islamic teachings, defections are welcome,'' his colleague
Amin said.  ``We will declare amnesty for anyone who would want to join
us.'' What would follow the fall of the Taliban is uncertain.  U.S. 
officials haven't stated any preference for a new government.  The
exiled King Mohammad Zaher Shah is working to convene an assembly of
tribal leaders in the Afghan capital once a cease-fire has been secured. 

Alliance envoys Mir and Amin welcomed the idea of a transitional
government sharing power between the alliance, the king's supporters and
other tribes.  Burhanuddin Rabbani, whose exiled Afghan government is
recognized by the United Nations, said Wednesday in Dushanbe,
Tajikistan, that all tribes should be represented in any post-Taliban
government, as long as they have no blood on their hands.  But Rabbani
refrained from endorsing the exiled king as a unifying force. 


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