[iwar] US military engagement missing the mark

From: Mohammad Ozair Rasheed (ozair_rasheed@geocities.com)
Date: 2001-10-22 06:04:07


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Date: Mon, 22 Oct 2001 18:04:07 +0500
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Subject: [iwar] US military engagement missing the mark
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http://www.dawn.com/2001/10/22/int16.htm
 
US military engagement missing the mark 

By Doyle McManus, Richard Boudreaux & Paul Richters 


WASHINGTON: Two weeks ago, US officials predicted that a few days of
bombing and a commando raid or two would touch off internal upheaval in
Afghanistan. Southern tribes, warriors loyal to the exiled king, even
dissidents within the Taliban would rise to help overthrow the weakened
regime, they said. 

It has not happened. Instead, the southern opposition has bogged down in
seemingly endless talks. The former king has called for a national
council to meet, but no date has been set. The opposition's sole
functioning military force, the Northern Alliance, waits in frustration
on the battlefront north of Kabul, the capital. And only a handful of
Taliban dissidents have turned up so far. 

In short, the two sides of the US effort in Afghanistan, military and
political, are out of sync. The air war against the Taliban is
proceeding at a brutally efficient pace, now augmented by commando raids
against critical military targets. But the effort to organize a revolt
on the ground is going much more slowly, on Afghan time. 

"There's nothing there," one US official said. "The Afghans are moving
about 10 times faster than they are used to - but it's nowhere near as
fast as we would like." 

As a result, the scenario outlined by Bush administration optimists -
airstrikes followed by an uprising on the ground that would help US
special operations forces hunt down Osama bin Laden - has been stretched
out. 

"This is a tough one," said Robert L. Oakley, a former US ambassador in
Pakistan, Somalia and other hot spots. "It's going to take a lot of
time." On the political side, he said, "They're way behind." On the
military side, "You want to let Afghans do the work. But are we patient
enough for that?" Besides, he noted, the Taliban are decentralized, not
a hierarchical government. "How are we going to know when they
collapse?" he asked, only partly tongue-in-cheek. 

Military officials say essentially they have run through their initial
bombing targets and are striking mostly at 'targets of opportunity' -
Taliban units they happen to spot. 

The Northern Alliance appealed to the US for airstrikes in support of an
offensive against Kabul, but the administration held off, hoping that a
broader opposition coalition could be organized first. The Northern
Alliance responded by promising that if it seized Kabul, it would cede
control to an authority named by the UN. But the world body has not
worked out its plans, either. 

The UN special envoy for Afghanistan, Algerian diplomat Lakhdar Brahimi,
warned that forming a peacekeeping force will be no small task. No
country publicly has volunteered for the hazardous mission of pacifying
Kabul. 

US Defence Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld acknowledged that his forces
have not found an ally to link up with in the southern,
Pashtun-dominated provinces. "We do not have the kind of interaction
with elements of the south that one would have to have for progress," he
told reporters. 

The Northern Alliance was supposed to deliver its list of
representatives to the king last week. It has not. 

The council was supposed to have 120 members: 50 from the Northern
Alliance, 50 from the south and 20 named by common accord. The king had
hoped to call it into session by the end of the month, aides said. 

The Northern Alliance's envoy to the king, Younus Qanooni, left Rome for
northern Afghanistan on Oct 1 to collect 50 names from among the
alliance's many factions. Almost three weeks later, he has not returned.


Although some US officials had described the bombing's initial phase as
a three- to five-day campaign, experts were skeptical that military
planners really believed they could polish off every worthwhile target
in only a few days. Defence officials also acknowledge privately that
the continuation and intensification of the air campaign made sense,
given the pressure to do as much damage as possible in Afghanistan
before the onset of winter. -Dawn/LAT-WP News Service (c) Los Angeles
Times. 

 


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