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From: "Mandeep Singh Bajwa" <bajwa@i91.net.in>
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Date: Tue, 30 Oct 2001 13:38:15 +0530
Reply-To: iwar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [iwar] UK poll: war support cooling, esp women
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The British public must make up its mind and strengthen its resolve to combat terrorism both abroad and at home. Considering the highly objectionable and offensive activities, to say the least, of terrorist supporters within Britain, the British people must recognise that they face a terrorist threat of similar if not greater magnitude than the US.
----- Original Message -----
From: yangyun@metacrawler.com
To: iwar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, October 30, 2001 12:37 PM
Subject: [iwar] UK poll: war support cooling, esp women
Majority want bombing pause
Exclusive poll shows support for war cooling - 54% say halt attacks
and allow aid convoys into Afghanistan
Alan Travis
Tuesday October 30, 2001
The Guardian
British public support for the war against the Taliban has dropped by
12 points in the past fortnight and a majority now believe there
should be a pause in the bombing to allow aid convoys into Afghanistan.
The sharp drop in support revealed by today's Guardian/ICM poll
confirms Tony Blair's fears that the reality of modern warfare and
reports of mounting civilian casualties have already led to a wobble
in British support.
It provides clear evidence that there has been a significant change in
the mood of the country towards the war and explains why ministers
have spent the last weekend trying to shore up public opinion and why
the prime minister is to appeal to the nation to "keep its nerve" in a
major speech today.
Although the prime minister will take comfort from the fact that
nearly two-thirds say they approve of military action, the prime
minister will be alarmed by details of the survey, which show that
support among women has slumped by 17 points from 68% to 51%. Only a
bare majority of women now approve of military action against the Taliban.
It is a similar picture among older voters, with support among the
over 65s dropping from 71% to just 54% in the past fortnight. The
slide in support for military action is least marked amongst men,
where backing for the war has fallen by only six points from 80% to
74%, and among the young, down from 73% to 64%.
But it should be noted that while positive support for the war has
cooled somewhat, this has not necessarily translated into anti-war
feeling.
Those opposed to military action have risen by only four points in the
last fortnight from 16% to 20%. The largest growth has been among
humanitarian sceptics, with don't knows rising by eight points to 18%.
This is shown most clearly by the clear majority who agree with the
statement that there should be a pause in the bombing campaign against
the Taliban to allow aid convoys to go into Afghanistan.
A majority of 54% believe this should happen, with 29% saying that the
bombing campaign should continue without pause.
When viewed against the 62% support for military action, this suggests
that the clear motive behind those who back the calls for a pause in
the bombing is humanitarian rather than outright anti-war reasons.
Among women there is overwhelming support for a pause (59% to 19%) but
opinion among men is closer, with 49% in favour of a pause and 40%
opposed.
Further evidence that it is a humanitarian inspired wobble in public
opinion rather than outright opposition to the war is shown by the
results to the question on attitudes towards sending British troops
into Afghanistan to take part in the fighting on the ground. Some 57%
backed the decision announced on Friday for a small force of British
commandos to be sent to Afghanistan.
Some 29% disapproved of this decision, showing that there is only a
small gap in British public opinion between attitudes to the bombing
campaign and to use of British troops on the grounds.
A final question about public confidence in the government's ability
to deal with a major outbreak of anthrax, smallpox or other public
health threat, produced mixed results. A substantial minority, 44%,
replied they were either not very confident (29%) or not at all
confident (15%) that the government could cope.
A bare majority, 51%, said they were either very confident (12%) or
fairly confident (39%) that the authorities could deal with it
effectively.
· ICM interviewed a random sample of 1,000 adults aged over 18 by
telephone between October 26 and 28. Interviews were conducted across
the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all
adults.
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