[iwar] [fc:Police.suspect.bin.Laden.making.'dirty'.nuclear.bombs]

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Subject: [iwar] [fc:Police.suspect.bin.Laden.making.'dirty'.nuclear.bombs]
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<a href="http://www.nationalpost.com/features/siege/story.html?f=/stories/20011017/73">http://www.nationalpost.com/features/siege/story.html?f=/stories/20011017/73>
9917.html

Police suspect bin Laden making 'dirty' nuclear bombs
Troubling signs

David Pugliese
Ottawa Citizen

Police in Canada, Britain and Bulgaria are urgently investigating
suspicious activity involving atomic energy research facilities as fears
grow that Osama bin Laden may be attempting to build crude nuclear
weapons. 

Terrorists could build a "dirty" radiological bomb with little effort
capable of killing 2,000 people and contaminating thousands more,
according to a report from the Center for Defense Information, a think
tank in Washington. 

A U.S.  defence official has said bin Laden's al-Qaeda terrorists had
developed chemical and biological weapons and possibly nuclear-related
arms. 

"If there's any nuclear capability, it is liable to be more radiological
than fissile," the official said, according to The Washington Times. 

Radiological weapons -- or dirty bombs -- combine radioactive material
with conventional explosives to increase their deadliness.  A fissile
nuclear device produces a nuclear blast. 

British intelligence officials are reportedly tracing the activities of
a Pakistani scientist, connected to bin Laden, who is believed to have
tried to obtain nuclear waste materials in England.  Also being
investigated is a scheme by the bin Laden organization to set up a fake
environmental company to obtain radioactive material from a nuclear
power plant in Bulgaria. 

In Canada, police are continuing to follow leads about a Kuwaiti man
found with sensitive documents about Canadian atomic energy facilities. 

In a report, Mr.  Blair says a radiological bomb is an expedient weapon,
in that radioactive waste material is relatively easy to obtain and not
as well guarded as nuclear weapons.  He estimated the worst-case
calculation for a noon-hour explosion in downtown Manhattan to be more
than 2,000 deaths. 

"There's a potential for that type of action," said John Thompson, who
studies terrorism trends for the Mackenzie Institute, a Toronto-based
think-tank.  "I don't think you would create a large number of
casualties, but you would certainly generate a lot of panic."

Canadian defence analyst David Rudd notes bin Laden would be courting
the demise of his cause if he used a nuclear weapon against the United
States.  Such an action would turn supporters among the Arab
establishment against him and spark massive retaliation from the U.S. 
government against any country to give him sanctuary. 

"All bets would be off if he used nuclear weapons," said Mr.  Rudd,
director of the Canadian Institute of Strategic Studies.  "And I shudder
to think what the response would be to that."

Bin Laden has voiced his desire to have a nuclear bomb.  In May, 1998,
he issued a statement arguing it was necessary to obtain nuclear weapons
and that it was the duty of Muslims "to prepare as much force as
possible to terrorize the enemies of God."

In a 1998 interview with Time, bin Laden dodged the question of whether
he actually had such a device.  "If I have indeed acquired these
weapons, then I thank God for enabling me to do so," he said. 

One of his former aides, Jamal al-Fadl, testified during a terrorism
trial this year he was directly involved in an attempt to purchase
uranium for bin Laden in 1993.  He was instructed to meet a Sudanese
military officer, who supposedly possessed radioactive material to sell
for $1.5-million. 

Mr.  al-Fadl arranged for the purchase of a device to determine whether
the material was radioactive, but after that he was taken off the job. 
Mr.  al-Fadl testified he did not know if the purchase was ever
completed. 

Earlier this year, customs officers from Uzbekistan seized 10 lead-lined
containers at a remote border crossing with Kazakhstan.  Intelligence
analysts say they were filled with enough radioactive material to
construct dozens of crude radiological weapons.  The containers were
being shipped to a company in Quetta, Pakistan, but since Pakistan
already has an arsenal of nuclear weapons, most analysts believe it
would have no need for such material, prompting speculation it was
destined for bin Laden. 

There is also the possibility bin Laden has built or obtained a nuclear
bomb, stolen from the stockpile of the former Soviet Union.  In 1998, an
Arabic news magazine reported bin Laden's organization paid Chechen
gangsters US$30-million for 20 Russian nuclear warheads.  The plan,
according to the magazine, was to dismantle and smuggle the bombs into
U.S.  cities, where they would be detonated. 

The Russian government denies any of its warheads are missing.  But
according to Republican Congressman Curt Weldon, the former Soviet Union
cannot account for 48 of its 10-kiloton suitcase nuclear weapons. 

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