[iwar] Argentina debt default?

From: yangyun@metacrawler.com
Date: 2001-10-24 15:04:33


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Date: Wed, 24 Oct 2001 22:04:33 -0000
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Subject: [iwar] Argentina debt default?
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Matthew Freedman , dismal.com
Argentina on the rocks. 
10/24/2001 4:10:00 PM 
U.S. Treasury bond prices soared this afternoon on news that 
Argentine Economy Minister Domingo Cavallo met last night with New 
York Federal Reserve President William McDonough. Traders are 
speculating that the meeting signals that Argentina is on the verge 
of defaulting on its debt, an event that could wreak havoc on capital 
markets in the developing world and fuel more flight-to-quality flows 
into the U.S. Cavallo is reportedly in Washington D.C. now, and may 
meet with U.S. Treasury and IMF officials later today. The nature and 
subject of these talks remain unclear. 
Argentina is currently mired in its fourth year of recession, which 
has recently been exacerbated by rising international risk aversion 
and skyrocketing interest rates. President Fernando de la Rua and 
Cavallo have attempted to shore up international investor confidence 
by pushing a zero-deficit federal budget, but rapidly falling tax 
revenues are jeopardizing the nation's ability to service its debt, 
which amounts to some $130 billion. Argentina succeeded earlier this 
year in swapping some short-term external debt for longer-term bonds, 
but another swap now may be impracticable given the higher risk 
premium the government would be forced to pay. Another IMF loan may 
very well be in the offing.
 
 



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