Re: [iwar] The role of self-attribution

From: e.r. (fastflyer28@yahoo.com)
Date: 2001-10-18 14:31:31

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Message-ID: <20011018213131.43203.qmail@web14507.mail.yahoo.com>
To: iwar@yahoogroups.com
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From: "e.r." <fastflyer28@yahoo.com>
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Date: Thu, 18 Oct 2001 14:31:31 -0700 (PDT)
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Subject: Re: [iwar] The role of self-attribution
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If you remember what the President said-if we find out who actually did
this, the bad guys will have a war on their hands. Beyond that,
terrorist organizations often do not claim responsibility. Normally the
attacked party knows who did it(Marine Barracks in Lebanon-83' Islamic
Jihad. They didnt need to send a note as we knew who did it. Otherwise,
it is far easier just to slip away into the background for most of
these groups until they want to attack again.  Less chance of getting
caught.  Ask me about Ramsey Yousef tonight-very interesting story to
demonstrate this idea. He is in a US jail-they put him in the cell and
then threw away the cell.
--- ellisd@cs.ucsb.edu wrote:
> 
> Why didn't the organization behind the 9/11 attack take credit?  
> 
> Why hasn't the organization behind the ongoing anthrax saga taken 
> credit?   
> 
> Is there more information strength in ambiguity?  
> 
> The pros (as I see them) to not taking credit are:
> -Our inference mechanisms may be incorrect leading to misdirection
> -Psychological effects of uncertainty
>     -subjects insite more fear within themselves than actors could
> -in a forest-like organization (as opposed to a tree-like 
> organization), it is more difficult to attribute credit when there 
> maybe multiple forces involved, not taking credit avoids rifts
> 
> The cons:
> -Other psychological effects
> -Being deemed a coward and summarily dismissed
> 
> Undetermined (by myself):
> -Which has a greater influence to insight would-be followers?  If you
> 
> have no followers but want to take advantage of somebody else's 
> followers, then obviously not taking credit is a good thing.  This, I
> 
> suppose goes along with the misdirection pro.
> 
> I am sure there are better reasons (pros and cons) and I just haven't
> 
> been enlightened yet.  Regardless, the lack of self-attribution in
> the 
> recent events has really bothered me.  It seems more "manly" for lack
> 
> of a better word (forgive me here, e.r.) to take credit, but so far,
> I 
> can so no real reason to take credit when attribution can be avoided.
> 
> If you feel that I am way off target in context of the recent
> attacks, 
> then please generalize my comments.  I am aware of a great deal of 
> evidence which provides some degree of attribution, but that 
> attribution is far from complete.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 


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Next message: Fred Cohen: "[iwar] http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1382/"
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